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Lena Hoffmann

Articles by Lena Hoffmann

Science & education writer · View profile

· 13 min read

Poker Hand Probabilities, Derived Rather Than Memorised

Every five-card poker probability is a counting argument over 2,598,960 hands, and each one fits on a single line. Here are all nine, with the check that proves them: the counts must sum to exactly C(52,5).

· 13 min read

Stacked Discounts Do Not Add Up

Twenty percent off and then a further ten percent off is not thirty percent off — it is twenty-eight, because the second discount applies to the already-reduced price. The general rule, the cases where order matters, and how sales tax changes the answer.

· 14 min read

Percentage Points Are Not Percent

Moving from 4% to 5% is a rise of one percentage point and a rise of twenty-five percent. Both statements are true, which is exactly why the ambiguity is so easy to exploit — and why basis points exist.

· 15 min read

Date Arithmetic Is Harder Than It Looks

"One month later" has no single correct answer, and every date library has had to pick one. Month addition is neither associative nor invertible, a day is not always 24 hours, and age is not days divided by 365.25.

· 15 min read

Leap Years: The Rule, the Exception, and the Exception to the Exception

Divisible by four, except centuries, except centuries divisible by four hundred. The three-line rule exists because the tropical year is not 365.25 days, and the arithmetic behind it explains ten deleted days in 1582 and a calendar that repeats exactly every 400 years.